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Investment prospects 30.01.2017 – 03.02.2017. Nonfarm payrolls  

special projects
31 January 2017 , 16:21

This Friday (February 3th) at 13:30 GMT an important US labor market data will come out. The most important indicator – Nonfarm payrolls (NFP).

Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) measures the change in the number of people employed during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. The total number of people employed in non-agricultural sector is about 80% of people who produce the entire gross domestic product of the United States.

Market reaction to NFP is determined by comparison of forecasted and actual data of the indicator. Thus, if the upcoming index data is higher than the figures in forecast, it should be considered as a positive factor for the US dollar.

The indication affects all trading instruments quoted with US dollar (EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY...) including precious metals.

If the data comes out lower than expected, it will provoke weakening of US and growth of gold futures (XAUUSD) as “safe haven”.

The upcoming indicators will have particular importance after recent inauguration of Donald Trump. Since the new US president promised to create 25 million new jobs in the next 10 years. In his inaugural speech, US President Donald Trump has promised that from now on America will "buy American and hire Americans," The decline in Nonfarm payrolls (NFP) will bring a negative phenomena in the implementation of Trump`s program, in case of growth - effectiveness.

Volatility after the news release could reach 100 points on the currency pair EURUSD, which equals profit of $ 1000 with 1 lot volume.

Non-Farm:

Forecast – 172K

Pervious – 156K

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